February 3, 2012

Change: $4 Gas Prices are Coming

No one is paying any attention but oil prices are up close to 50% in less than a week since Obama took office. Gas prices are following and we are at our highest gas price in a few months.

Not looking good and now Obama is talking about stopping the drilling that be only just began. Do you like $4 gas?

Well that is the change we have.

1000/ Fundamental Organic Chemistry Set (HGS Polyhedron Molecular Model)
1000/ Fundamental Organic Chemistry Set (HGS Polyhedron Molecular Model)

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What is a Covered Call

Lately I have been looking at options a bit more. Options trading is new to me so I have been studying it a little. I am trading comes covered calls.

A covered call is a transaction in which the seller of call options already owns the corresponding amount of the underlying instrument, such as shares of a stock or other securities. These owned shares provide the “cover” as they can be handed over to the buyer of the options when he decides to exercise them, instead of having to buy the optioned shares at unfavorable market prices in the case of “uncovered” or short call. Thus, the covered call limits the (potentially unlimited) loss that results from a short call when the price of the underlying stock moves above the strike price of the option.

For example, let’s say that you own shares of the XZY Aluminum and like its long-term prospects as well as its share price but feel in the shorter term the stock will likely trade relatively flat, perhaps within a few dollars of its current price of, say, $11. If you sell a call option on XZY for $12, you earn the premium from the option sale but cap your upside. One of three scenarios is going to play out:

a) XZY shares trade flat (below the $12 strike price) – the option will expire worthless and you keep the premium from the option. In this case, by using the buy-write strategy you have successfully outperformed the stock.

b) XZY shares fall – the option expires worthless, you keep the premium, and again you outperform the stock.

c) XZY shares rise above $12 – the option is exercised, and your upside is capped at $12, plus the option premium. In this case, if the stock price goes higher than $12, plus the premium, your buy-write strategy has underperformed the XZY shares.

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Online Trading System – Wizetrade

2 of my friends in the past month have started using Wizetrade Online Trading System and are very impressed. I have spend a few minuted on their accounts but want to know more.

Do you or have you uses Wizetrade Online Trading System? What do you know about this stock trading system? Does it work for options trading? The good, the bad, and the ugly about Wizetrade?

Let us know your thoughts.

Thanks a million for any info you have on Wizetrade Online Trading System.

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Roubini: Deep Recession for 2 Years

Roubini is forecasting a recession that lasts 2 full years and hits pretty hard.

The U.S. recession will last two full years, with gross domestic product falling a cumulative 5%, said Nouriel Roubini, chairman of RGE Monitor. Roubini was one of the first economists to predict the recession and the credit crunch stemming from the housing bubble. For 2009, Roubini predicts GDP will fall 3.4%, with declines in every quarter of the year. The unemployment rate should peak at about 9% in early 2010, he said. Consumer prices will fall about 2% in 2009. Housing prices will probably overshoot, dropping 44% from the peak through mid-2010.

Roubini also states that we can’t avoid the sever contraction that is already taking place. By this statement he is forecasting that we won’t go into a depression but a long recession that is hitting hard and going to continue.

Source: Roubini forecasts recession will last 2 years.

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